Tun daga watan Fabrairu, diphenyl methane diisocyanate (MDI) na cikin gida ya rage raguwar kasuwar Yin ƙasa, amma farashin albarkatun ƙasa ya ƙara ƙaruwa, kamar 20 ga Fabrairu a yankin Shandong aniline ya tashi yuan 1000 (farashin ton, iri ɗaya a ƙasa)."Ƙarshen farashi yana goyan bayan buƙatun mai ƙarfi a hankali a hankali, ko kuma zai fitar da jimillar kasuwar MDI daga cikin mawuyacin hali, buɗe kasuwa."Yawancin mutane a cikin masana'antar sun yi bincike da hukunci a sama.
Taimakon farashi mai ƙarfi
Raw material aniline yana da kashi 75% na farashin MDI.Kwanan nan, farashin aniline yana tashi, kuma an ƙarfafa tallafin kuɗin MDI.
Ya zuwa ranar 21 ga watan Fabrairu, farashin kasuwar aniline ta Arewacin kasar Sin ya kai yuan 12,200, ya karu da yuan 1950 idan aka kwatanta da ranar 28 ga Janairu, karuwar da ya karu da kashi 19.12%;Daga ranar 17 ga Fabrairu, ya karu yuan 1200, ko kuma 10.96%.
“Yawan haɓakar haɓakar kasuwar aniline ya samo asali ne sakamakon karuwar umarni na tsakiya da na ƙasa.Bukatar aniline ya karu, kuma za a rufe wasu rukunin masana'antu don kiyayewa, haɓaka kwarin gwiwa na kasuwa, masana'antun da sauri suna lalata, kuma farashin aniline ya tashi sosai."Babban injiniyan kungiyar Shandong Kenli Petrochemical, Wang Quanping ya ce.
A halin yanzu, Nanhua ta dakatar da na'urar aniline ton 100,000 a kowace shekara;Chongqing BASF tan 300,000 na shirin shigarwa na shekara-shekara, ana tsammanin zai wuce wata 1;Ningbo Wanhua 720,000 ton / shekara na'urar 50% load aiki.
Daga aniline saman ra'ayi, kasuwar benzene mai tsafta ta cikin gida ta girgiza sosai.Gabashin kasar Sin a kasa aiwatar da aiwatar da odar isar da sako, kayan aikin tashar jiragen ruwa ya ragu kadan.Kasuwar benzene mai tsafta ta Amurka ta tashi, farashin waje ya hauhawa, farashin cikin gida na benzene “concave” mai tsafta, wanda ya fi karfin rana.
"Kafin farashin aniline bai tashi ba, matsakaicin ribar masana'antar polymerization ta MDI ta kusan yuan 3273.Haɓaka albarkatun ƙasa ba makawa za su danne sararin fa'ida na polymerization MDI, haɓaka shirye-shiryen masana'antun don farashi. "Wang Quanping ya ce a kasuwannin rana, ba shakka ana samun raguwar samar da aniline, kuma kila kiyayyar na iya faduwa zuwa kasa.Ana tsammanin cewa farashin aniline zai ci gaba da tashi a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, yana samar da tallafi ga kasuwar MDI ta polymerized ta fuskar farashi.
Nemi gyara ta hanyar mataki
Kamar yadda MDI polymeric kasuwar polyether ta ƙasa ta haɓaka sannu a hankali kwanan nan.Kore ta propylene oxide azaman albarkatun ƙasa, kasuwar polyether tana buɗe yanayin ja.Kusan wata 1, farashin polyether ya tashi ƙasa, tsakiyar nauyi, bikin bazara ya tashi yuan 800.
Daga bangaren samar da kayayyaki, kaya na polyether ya isa, amma babban tushen shigo da kayayyaki don kiyaye ƙasa.Manyan masana'antu a arewa da kudanci suna shirye don tallafawa kasuwa, kuma yawancin wuraren aiki na masana'antar polyether har yanzu yana iyakance ta hanyar propylene oxide.Bugu da ƙari, masana'antun suna da ƙayyadaddun ƙididdiga, kuma bayan bikin bazara, kasuwar propylene oxide tana cikin wani yanayi mai ban mamaki, kuma farashin kaya na kayan da aka gama ba su da ƙasa.An kiyasta cewa babban son jigilar kayayyaki shine babban abin da ya fi dacewa a nan gaba.
"Kwanan nan, ana sa ran shigo da kaya zai kara yawa, amma adadin polyether mai laushi ya ragu, babban masana'antar cikin gida ta tsaya kan halin birni."Cibiyar Shandong ta masana'antu da fasaha na farfesa a matakin injiniya Pan Jinsong ya ce.
Daga ra'ayi na buƙatu, tsari na oda na soso na cikin gida na cikin gida yana da kwanciyar hankali, kuma za a gudanar da babban amfani da albarkatun ƙasa don masana'antun samarwa a cikin Maris.A watan Maris, za a gudanar da baje kolin kayan daki, ko kuma zai kawo fa'ida mai kyau ga kasuwar albarkatun kasa.Tsarin kasuwancin soso na fitarwa shine gabaɗaya.Watan Membobin Amazon ne a watan Yuli.Ana sa ran za ta sami wani matsayi na jagoranci a cikin masana'antar soso mai nau'in fitarwa bayan Afrilu.
Daga ra'ayi na albarkatun kasa, sabon ƙara kayan ado na oxide na oxide a ƙarshen Fabrairu shine kawai tauraron dan adam petrochemical, da tsammanin tsammanin na'urar Ida ko sake farawa.Sauran na'urorin ba su da wani gagarumin karuwa a halin yanzu.Tare da filin ajiye motoci na kashi na farko na Refining da Chemical na Zhenhai, wadatar kasuwa ba ta da yawa, kuma tallafin farashi ya fi girma.Ana sa ran cewa farashin oxide propyne yana da wuyar tashi da wuyar raguwa, kuma har yanzu yana tallafawa kasuwar polyether.
Gabaɗaya, akwai alamun buƙatu na ƙarshe, wanda zai fitar da jimlar kasuwar MDI ta tashi.
Ana tsammanin raguwar wadata
A halin yanzu, faduwar kasuwar MDI ta cikin gida ta ragu, kuma farashin tayin ya fi yuan 15,500 ~ 15,800, kuma farashin kayayyakin da ake shigowa da su (MR200, M200) ya kai yuan 15,300 ~ 15,600.
"A halin yanzu, farashin tara MDI har yanzu yana cikin ƙananan matakin kusan kusan shekaru uku. A ƙarƙashin yanayin ingantaccen rigakafin rigakafi da tsare-tsaren tsare-tsare da kuma jiran dawo da tattalin arziki, kasuwar MDI ta haɗu sannu a hankali ta tashi a cikin matakai.Masu ba da kayayyaki suna musayar lokaci don sararin samaniya kuma a hankali suna haɓakawa ta hanyar ka'idojin kasuwa gwargwadon saurin amfani a ƙarshen buƙatun. "Pan Jinsong ya ce.
Daga bangaren samar da kayayyaki, wadatar tana da iyaka, jimlar tayin MDI ya kasance mai girma, yanayin kasuwa yana taka tsantsan.Tare da kula da masu samar da kayayyaki da jinkirin bayarwa, odar buƙatu ya fi mayar da hankali, yanayin siyan yana dumama, kuma tsakiyar ƙarfin tarawar filin MDI yana motsawa sama.
Dangane da kayan aiki, na'urorin MDI ton 400,000 / shekara a Chongqing sun shiga cikin yanayin kulawa a ranar 5 ga Fabrairu, wanda ake sa ran zai ci gaba har zuwa tsakiyar Maris.Ningbo 800,000 ton / shekara kayan aiki za a dakatar don kiyayewa daga Fabrairu 13th, yana da kusan kwanaki 30.Ana sa ran jimlar samar da MDI zai kai tan 152,000 a watan Fabrairu, ya ragu da tan 23,300 daga watan da ya gabata.
A taƙaice, ƙaƙƙarfan tallafin farashi na jimillar MDI, raguwar wadatar kasuwa da ake tsammanin, da dawo da buƙatun ƙasa sannu a hankali, rundunonin haɗin gwiwar guda uku na iya taimakawa kasuwar MDI ta kawar da dusar ƙanƙara da kuma fita daga tashin hankali.
Lokacin aikawa: Maris-06-2023