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Babban sakin iya aiki - Shin ABS zai faɗi ƙasa da alamar Yuan 10,000?

Tun daga wannan shekara, tare da ci gaba da sakin ikon samar da kayayyaki, kasuwar acrylite -butadiene -lyerene cluster (ABS) ta kasance mai rauni, kuma farashin yana gabatowa yuan 10,000 (farashin ton, iri ɗaya a ƙasa).Ƙananan farashin, raguwar farashin aiki, da ribar da aka samu sun zama alamar kasuwa na yanzu.A cikin kwata na biyu, saurin sakin ƙarfin kasuwar ABS bai tsaya ba."Nadi na ciki" yana da wuya a rage.Yaƙin farashin ko ya ci gaba, da haɗarin faɗuwa ta hanyar dubban haɗari ya karu.

Ƙaruwa mai yawa a cikin ƙarfin samarwa
A cikin kwata na farko na 2023, an saka kayan aikin cikin gida a cikin samarwa, kuma an ƙara yawan fitowar ABS.Bisa kididdigar kididdigar da aka yi na JinLianchuang, a rubu'in farko na shekarar 2023, yawan adadin da kasar Sin ta samu na ABS ya kai tan 1,281,600, wanda ya karu da ton 44,800 daga kwata na baya, da tan 90,200 a duk shekara.

Sakin ƙarfin samarwa ya sanya matsin lamba kan kasuwa.Ko da yake farashin ABS bai yi faɗuwa sosai ba, kasuwar gaba ɗaya ta ci gaba da girgiza, kuma bambancin farashin ya kai kusan yuan 1000.A halin yanzu, farashin samfurin 0215A shine yuan 10,400.

Masu binciken masana'antu sun ce dalilin da ya sa farashin kasuwar ABS bai "fashe ba", wani muhimmin al'amari shi ne farashin samar da ABS da kuma tsadar farashin 'yan kasuwa da ke rike da kayayyaki, sama da Zhejiang Petrochemical, Jihua Jieyang kayayyakin da suka cancanta na dan lokaci, wanda hakan ya sa farashin kasuwa ya tashi. a low matakin.

A cikin kwata na biyu, Zheng Xin da sauran 'yan kasuwa sun yi imanin cewa, ana sa ran za a samar da sabbin na'urorin Shandong Haijiang ton 200,000 a kowace shekara, Gaoqiao Petrochemical 225,000 ton / shekara da Daqing Petrochemical ton 100,000 a kowace shekara.Bugu da kari, nauyin na'urorin Zhejiang Petrochemical da Jihua Jieyang na iya ci gaba da karuwa, kuma ana sa ran samar da ABS a cikin gida zai ci gaba da karuwa, don haka ana sa ran kasuwar ABS za ta nuna koma baya na tashin hankali.Kada ku yanke hukuncin fitar da ƙananan farashin da ake tsammanin ƙasa da cikakken yuan dubu goma.

Rage ribar riba
Tare da sakin sabon ƙarfin samarwa, farashin kasuwar ABS ya kasance ƙasa kaɗan, komai a cikin kasuwar Gabashin China ko kasuwar Kudancin China.Don kama hannun jarin kasuwa, yakin "ƙarar ciki" na ABS ya tsananta kuma ribar riba tana raguwa.

Manazarta Chu Caiping ya gabatar, daga bayanan kwata-kwata na farko, matsakaicin ribar da kamfanonin petrochemical na ABS ya kai yuan 566, da yuan 685 daga kwata da ya gabata, ya ragu da yuan 2359 a duk shekara, ribar ta ragu sosai, wasu kamfanoni masu karamin karfi da ake sa rai. a ka'idar a cikin hasara halin da ake ciki.

A cikin Afrilu, ABS albarkatun kasa styrene ya tashi kuma ya koma baya, butadiene, acrylonitrile farashin ya tashi, yana sa farashin samar da ABS ya karu, raguwar riba.Ya zuwa yanzu, matsakaicin riba na ka'idar ABS kusan yuan 192 ne, kusa da layin farashi.

Ta fuskar kasuwa, farashin danyen mai yana da wurin rauni, kuma macro gaba daya yana da rauni.Ƙarfin aikin aromatics na duniya har yanzu yana da dorewa, kuma yana da ɗan tallafi don farashin albarkatun ABS.A halin yanzu, abubuwan da ke ƙasa ba su da ƙasa, girman girman safa ba ta da girma, kuma kasuwar tabo yana da wahalar yin aiki.Sabili da haka, ana sa ran cewa kasuwar kasuwa gabaɗaya ita ce kunkuntar girgiza.

Wang Chunming ya gabatar da cewa tallafin ɗan gajeren lokaci na farashi na wani ɗanyen albarkatun ABS, kuma akwai buƙatar sake cikawa a ƙasa, ko kuma zai tallafawa babban kasuwa.Ana sa ran cewa kasuwar butadiene na cikin gida na ɗan gajeren lokaci yana da wahala a sami maɓuɓɓuka masu ƙarancin farashi, kuma kasuwa na ci gaba da kasancewa mai girma.

"Farashin kasuwa na acrylite na iya zama mai yiwuwa na ɗan bincike kaɗan.Tsarin kulawa ko saukar da na'urar Lihua Yi, da samar da gida yana raguwa ko haɓaka kasuwa don ɗan koma baya a kasuwa.Har yanzu akwai rashin isassun tagomashi, kuma sararin sama na kasuwa yana da iyaka."Wang Chunming ya yi imanin cewa gabaɗaya, farashin ya tsaya tsayin daka, kuma kasuwar ABS na iya ci gaba da mamaye wadata da buƙata.Saboda haka, halin da ake ciki na riba a kasuwa yana da wuya a inganta.

Lokacin kololuwar bukatu ya wuce
Kodayake buƙatun ya karu a cikin kwata na farko, ci gaba da sakin ƙarfin ABS ya tsananta rashin jituwa tsakanin wadata da buƙata, wanda ya haifar da rashin ƙarfi na lokacin.

A cikin kwata na farko, fitar da na'urorin sanyaya iska da firiji a cikin ruwa na ABS ya karu da 10% ~ 14%, kuma na injin wanki da kashi 2%.Bukatar tasha gabaɗaya ta ƙaru kaɗan.Koyaya, a wannan shekara an saka ƙarin sabbin raka'a na ABS cikin samarwa, wanda ya lalata wannan kyakkyawan tasirin. "Wang Chunming ya bayyana.

Ta fuskar macro, farashin mai na duniya yana da ban mamaki, kuma ba za a rage tallafin farashin sinadarai ba.Samar da tattalin arzikin cikin gida da buƙatu sun nuna sakewa a hankali, amma bambance-bambancen tsarin ba a kawar da su gaba ɗaya ba, kuma dawo da babban nau'in amfani da buƙatun yana da rauni fiye da wadata.

Bugu da ƙari, Gre, Haier, Hisense da sauran kamfanoni a cikin Afrilu sun kasance ƙasa da Maris;Samar da ABS har yanzu ya fi buƙata.Mayu da Yuni su ne na gargajiya sayan-lokacin na kayan aikin gida, kuma ainihin buƙatar shine matsakaici.A ƙarƙashin yanayin tsammanin buƙatu, yanayin farashin kasuwar ABS a cikin lokacin baya har yanzu yana da rauni.


Lokacin aikawa: Mayu-11-2023