Tun daga wannan shekarar, tare da ci gaba da fitar da ƙarfin samarwa, kasuwar acrylite-butadiene-lyerene cluster (ABS) ta yi jinkiri, kuma farashin yana kusan yuan 10,000 (farashin tan, iri ɗaya a ƙasa). Ƙananan farashi, raguwar ƙimar aiki, da ƙananan riba sun zama abin da ke nuna kasuwar yanzu. A kwata na biyu, saurin sakin ƙarfin kasuwar ABS bai tsaya ba. "Matsakaicin ciki" ya kasance da wuya a rage shi. Yaƙin farashin ya ci gaba, kuma haɗarin karya dubban haɗari ya ƙaru.
Ƙara yawan ƙarfin samarwa
A cikin kwata na farko na shekarar 2023, an fara samar da kayan aikin cikin gida, kuma yawan fitar da ABS ya karu sosai. A cewar kididdigar JinLianchuang, a cikin kwata na farko na shekarar 2023, jimillar samar da ABS da kasar Sin ta yi ya kai tan 1,281,600, wanda ya karu da tan 44,800 idan aka kwatanta da kwata na baya da kuma tan 90,200 a kowace shekara.
Sakin ƙarfin samar da kayayyaki ya sanya matsin lamba ga kasuwa. Duk da cewa farashin ABS bai faɗi sosai ba, kasuwar gaba ɗaya ta ci gaba da girgiza, kuma bambancin farashin ya kai kusan yuan 1000. A halin yanzu, farashin samfurin 0215A shine yuan 10,400.
Masu sharhi a masana'antu sun ce dalilin da ya sa farashin kasuwar ABS bai "ruguje ba", muhimmin abu shine farashin samar da ABS da kuma tsadar 'yan kasuwa da ke rike da kayayyaki, wanda aka sanya wa kayayyakin da Zhejiang Petrochemical, Jihua Jieyang suka amince da su na ɗan lokaci, wanda hakan ya sa farashin kasuwa ya yi kasa sosai.
A kwata na biyu, Zheng Xin da sauran masu ruwa da tsaki a kasuwar sun yi imanin cewa ana sa ran sabbin na'urorin Shandong Haijiang tan 200,000 a kowace shekara, Gaoqiao Petrochemical tan 225,000 a kowace shekara da Daqing Petrochemical tan 100,000 a kowace shekara. Bugu da ƙari, nauyin na'urorin Zhejiang Petrochemical da Jihua Jieyang na iya ci gaba da ƙaruwa, kuma ana sa ran samar da ABS a cikin gida zai ci gaba da ƙaruwa, don haka ana sa ran kasuwar ABS za ta nuna raguwar yanayin rudani. Kada a yi watsi da tsammanin farashin mai ƙarancin inganci ƙasa da cikakken yuwuwar yuan dubu goma.
Rage riba mai yawa
Tare da fitowar sabon ƙarfin samar da kayayyaki, farashin kasuwar ABS ya kasance ƙasa, komai kasuwar Gabashin China ko kasuwar Kudancin China. Domin kwace hannun jarin kasuwa, yaƙin "ƙarfin cikin gida" na ABS ya ƙaru kuma ribar da aka samu tana raguwa.
Mai sharhi Chu Caiping ya gabatar, daga bayanan kwata na farko, matsakaicin ribar ka'idar kamfanonin man fetur na ABS na Yuan 566, ya ragu da Yuan 685 daga kwata na baya, ya ragu da Yuan 2359 kowace shekara, ribar ta ragu sosai, a ka'ida, wasu kamfanoni masu ƙarancin riba suna cikin yanayin asara.
A watan Afrilu, farashin kayan ABS styrene ya tashi ya koma baya, farashin butadiene, da acrylonitrile sun tashi, wanda hakan ya sa farashin samar da ABS ya karu, ya kuma ragu da riba. Har zuwa yanzu, matsakaicin ribar da ABS ta samu a ka'idarsa ta kai kimanin yuan 192, kusa da layin farashi.
Daga mahangar kasuwa, farashin ɗanyen mai yana da damar yin rauni, kuma babban macro ɗin yana da rauni. Ƙarfin aikin ƙanshi na ƙasashen duniya har yanzu yana da dorewa, kuma yana da ɗan goyon baya ga farashin kayan ABS. A halin yanzu, kayan da ke ƙasa ba su da ƙasa, saman kayan sawa ba su da yawa, kuma kasuwar tana da wahalar yin aiki. Saboda haka, ana sa ran cewa kasuwar gabaɗaya galibi tana da ɗan ƙaramin girgiza.
Wang Chunming ya gabatar da cewa farashin ɗan gajeren lokaci yana tallafawa wani kayan albarkatun ƙasa na ABS, kuma akwai buƙatar sake cikawa a ƙasa, ko kuma zai tallafa wa babban kasuwa. Ana sa ran kasuwar butadiene ta cikin gida ta ɗan gajeren lokaci tana da wahalar samun tushe mai rahusa, kuma kasuwar ta ci gaba da zama mai tsada.
"Farashin acrylite na kasuwa wataƙila yana iya zama ɗan bincike kaɗan. Tsarin kulawa ko saukar da na'urar Lihua Yi, kuma wadatar da ake samu a gida tana raguwa ko kuma tana haɓaka kasuwa don samun ɗan koma baya a kasuwa. Har yanzu akwai rashin isasshen alheri, kuma sararin sama na kasuwa yana da iyaka sosai. "Wang Chunming ya yi imanin cewa gabaɗaya, farashin yana da tabbas, kuma kasuwar ABS na iya ci gaba da mamaye wadata da buƙata. Saboda haka, yanayin riba a kasuwa yana da wuya a inganta."
Lokacin kololuwar buƙata ya wuce
Duk da cewa buƙatar ta ƙaru a kwata na farko, ci gaba da sakin ƙarfin ABS ya ƙara ta'azzara sabanin da ke tsakanin wadata da buƙata, wanda ya haifar da raunin lokacin ƙololuwar.
A cikin kwata na farko, fitowar na'urorin sanyaya daki da firiji a yankin da ke bayan ABS ya karu da kashi 10% ~ 14%, yayin da na injinan wanki da kashi 2%. Jimillar buƙatun tashar ya ƙaru kaɗan. Duk da haka, a wannan shekarar an ƙara sabbin na'urorin ABS a samarwa, wanda hakan ya wargaza wannan tasiri mai kyau.” Wang Chunming ya bayyana.
Daga mahangar babban ci gaba, farashin mai na ƙasashen duniya yana da matuƙar ban tsoro, kuma ba za a rage farashin sinadarai ba. Samar da kayayyaki da buƙata a fannin tattalin arziki na cikin gida sun nuna farfadowa a hankali, amma ba a kawar da bambance-bambancen tsarin gaba ɗaya ba, kuma farfaɗowar yawan amfani da kayayyaki a ɓangaren buƙata har yanzu ya fi rauni fiye da samar da kayayyaki.
Bugu da ƙari, Gree, Haier, Hisense da sauran kamfanoni a watan Afrilu sun yi ƙasa da Maris; wadatar ABS har yanzu ta fi buƙata. Mayu da Yuni su ne lokutan siyan kayan aikin gida na gargajiya, kuma ainihin buƙata matsakaici ne. A ƙarƙashin hasashen buƙatu, yanayin farashin kasuwar ABS a ƙarshen lokaci har yanzu yana da rauni.
Lokacin Saƙo: Mayu-11-2023