A shekarar 2025, masana'antar styrene ta nuna wani yanayi na "farko koma baya sannan farfadowa" a tsakanin hulɗar da ke tsakanin sakin ƙarfin aiki mai ƙarfi da bambancin buƙatun tsari. Yayin da matsin lamba tsakanin wadata da wadata ya ragu kaɗan, alamun raguwar kasuwa sun ƙara bayyana. Duk da haka, sabanin tsarin da ke tsakanin manyan kayayyaki da bambancin buƙata bai warware ba, wanda ya takaita damar sake farfaɗo da farashi.
Girgizar samar da kayayyaki a ɓangaren samar da kayayyaki shine babban abin da ya jawo hankalin kasuwa a rabin farko na shekarar. A shekarar 2025, sabbin hanyoyin samar da styrene na cikin gida sun fara aiki yadda ya kamata, inda sabbin hanyoyin samar da kayayyaki na shekara-shekara suka wuce tan miliyan 2. Manyan ayyukan tacewa da haɗa sinadarai kamar Liaoning Baolai da Zhejiang Petrochemical sun taimaka wajen ƙaruwar, wanda hakan ya haifar da ƙaruwar ƙarfin aiki na shekara-shekara da kashi 18%. Fitar da ƙarfin aiki mai yawa, tare da buƙatar da aka saba bayarwa a lokacin hutun kakar wasa a kwata na farko, ya ƙara ta'azzara rashin daidaiton samar da kayayyaki da buƙatun kasuwa. Farashin Styrene ya ci gaba da raguwa daga yuan 8,200 a kowace tan a farkon shekara, inda ya kai ƙasa da yuan 6,800 a kowace tan a ƙarshen Oktoba, wanda ke wakiltar raguwar kashi 17% daga farkon shekarar.
Bayan tsakiyar watan Nuwamba, kasuwar ta sake farfadowa a hankali, inda farashin ya tashi zuwa kusan yuan 7,200 a kowace tan, wanda ya karu da kusan kashi 6%, wanda hakan ya nuna farkon bayyanar halayen raguwar darajar man fetur. Babban dalilai biyu ne suka haifar da farfadowar. Na farko, bangaren samar da kayayyaki ya ragu: sassa uku na masana'antu masu karfin tan miliyan 1.2 a shekara a Shandong, Jiangsu da sauran yankuna sun dakatar da aiki na dan lokaci saboda kula da kayan aiki ko asarar riba, wanda hakan ya rage darajar aiki ta mako-mako daga kashi 85% zuwa kashi 78%. Na biyu, bangaren farashi ya bayar da tallafi: sakamakon farfadowar farashin mai na kasa da kasa da raguwar adadin kayayyakin da ke cikin tashar jiragen ruwa, farashin benzene na kiwo ya karu da kashi 5.2%, wanda hakan ya kara farashin samar da styrene. Duk da haka, yawan kayayyakin da aka samu ya kasance babban abin da ke takaita hakan. A karshen watan Nuwamba, kayayyakin styrene a tashoshin jiragen ruwa na Gabashin China sun kai tan 164,200, wanda ya fi kashi 23% sama da na wannan lokacin a bara. Kwanakin da aka samu na jigilar kayayyaki sun kasance a kwanaki 12, wanda ya zarce adadin da aka saba da shi na kwanaki 8, wanda hakan ya rage karuwar farashi.
Tsarin buƙatu daban-daban ya ƙara sarkakiyar kasuwa, wanda ya haifar da "aiki mai matakai biyu" a manyan sassan ƙasa. Masana'antar ABS (Acrylonitrile-Butadiene-Styrene) ta fito a matsayin babban abin da ya fi daukar hankali: tana cin gajiyar ƙaruwar fitar da sabbin motocin makamashi da kayan aikin gida masu wayo, buƙatarta ta karu da kashi 27.5% a shekara. Manyan masana'antun ABS na cikin gida sun ci gaba da aiki da kashi 90%, wanda hakan ya haifar da buƙatar siyan styrene akai-akai. Sabanin haka, masana'antun PS (Polystyrene) da EPS (Expandable Polystyrene) sun fuskanci ƙarancin buƙata a ƙasa, wanda ya ja baya sakamakon raunin da aka daɗe ana samu a kasuwar gidaje. Ana amfani da EPS galibi a cikin kayan rufin bango na waje; raguwar kashi 15% na shekara-shekara a sabbin gine-gine na gidaje ya haifar da masu samar da EPS suna aiki da ƙasa da kashi 50%. A halin yanzu, masu samar da PS sun ga ƙimar aikinsu ta faɗi da kusan kashi 60%, ƙasa da matakin wannan lokacin a bara, saboda raguwar haɓakar fitar da kayayyaki na masana'antu masu sauƙi kamar marufi da kayan wasa.
A halin yanzu, kasuwar styrene tana cikin wani yanayi mai daidaito wanda aka san ta da "ƙanƙantar wadata da ke samar da bambancin ƙasa da buƙatu wanda ke iyakance yuwuwar juyewa". Duk da cewa halayen juyewar ƙasa sun bayyana, har yanzu ana jiran a sami ingantaccen rage kaya da kuma cikakken farfaɗo da buƙatu. A cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, wanda aka takaita shi ta hanyar ƙuntatawa na sufuri na hunturu akan samfuran sinadarai da sake fara wasu masana'antun kulawa, ana sa ran kasuwar za ta canza a gefe. A matsakaici zuwa dogon lokaci, ya kamata a mai da hankali kan tasirin ƙarfafa manufofin gidaje masu sassauƙa kan buƙatun PS da EPS, da kuma faɗaɗa buƙata ta ABS a fannin masana'antu masu tasowa. Waɗannan abubuwan za su haɗa kai wajen tantance tsayin farfaɗowar farashin styrene.
Lokacin Saƙo: Disamba-11-2025