Shigar da 2023, kasuwar butadiene ta cikin gida ta fi girma, farashin kasuwa ya karu da 22.71%, haɓakar shekara-shekara na 44.76%, ya sami kyakkyawan farawa.Mahalarta kasuwar sun yi imanin cewa 2023 kasuwar butadiene m tsari zai ci gaba, kasuwa yana da daraja sa ido, a lokaci guda kasuwar butadiene na gida gabaɗaya tazara tazara ko kuma za ta ɗan yi sama da 2022, babban aikin gabaɗaya.
Babban canjin kasuwa
Manazarta Jin Lianchuang Zhang Xiuping ya ce, masana'antun sun nuna rashin jin dadinsu game da kasuwar butadiene a watan Janairu, sakamakon tasirin da ake samu na samar da masana'antar tace sinadarin Shenghong da sinadarai.Duk da haka, ana sa ran kula da masana'antar butadiene a cikin Zhejiang Petrochemical da Zhenhai Refining da sinadarai a cikin Fabrairu da Maris ya haɓaka yanayin aiki a kasuwa sannu a hankali.Bugu da kari, Tianchen Qixiang da Zhejiang Petrochemical Co., LTD.'s acrylonitrile - butadiene - styrene copolymer (ABS) bukatar shuka yana karuwa a hankali.Kasuwar tana bincike sosai.
Ko da yake an shirya rufe sashin butadiene a mataki na biyu na Zhejiang Petrochemical don kula da shi a tsakiyar watan Fabrairu, kuma an tsara aikin gyaran masana'antar tace sinadarin Zhenhai da sinadarai a karshen watan Fabrairu, duka biyun Hainan Refining da Chemical Shuka da petrochina. An shirya fara aiki da kamfanin na Guangdong Petrochemical a watan Fabrairu.A karkashin ingantacciyar tasirin, ana sa ran samar da butadiene zai tsaya tsayin daka amma ba mai kuzari ba, kuma ana sa ran farashin kasuwa zai ci gaba da yin tsayi.
Daga hangen nesa na fitowar karfin bifienne a cikin 2023, za a iya samun tan miliyan 1.04 na sabon ƙarfin da aka fitar a duk shekara, amma ba za a iya kawar da jinkirin wasu kayan aiki ba.Har ila yau, yawancin sabbin masana'antun da ya kamata a fara aiki a karshen shekarar da ta gabata, an jinkirta su zuwa rabin farkon wannan shekara.Baya ga Shenghong Refining da Chemical, wasu tsire-tsire na butadiene kamar Dongming Petrochemical ana sa ran za su fara aiki.A cikin rabin farko na shekara, abin ya shafa ta hanyar mayar da hankali kan sakin sabon ƙarfin samarwa, samar da butadiene zai ragu sannu a hankali, kasuwa ko kuma nuna babban yanayin buɗewa.
Ana sa ran za a fara samar da sabbin na'urorin butadiene kadan a cikin rabin na biyu na shekarar, kuma ana sa ran za a samar da sabbin na'urorin da ke karkashin kasa.Haɓakar buƙatun zai fi haɓakar kayan aiki, kuma za a ci gaba da samun matsananciyar yanayin samar da kasuwa.
Bugu da ƙari, tare da ingantawa da daidaita tsarin manufofin annoba da kuma karuwar tsammanin farfadowar tattalin arziki, ana iya inganta yawan bukatun gida na gida a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara idan aka kwatanta da rabin farko na shekara, da kuma tallafin farashin akan Hakanan ana haɓaka ɓangaren buƙata idan aka kwatanta da rabin farkon shekara.Gaba ɗaya farashin butadiene a matsayin ɗanyen abu ya fi rabin farkon shekara.
Farashin albarkatun kasa yana da wuyar faduwa
A matsayin kayan bututu, a matsayin albarkatun kasa na butadiene, ana samun goyan bayan buƙatun haɓakar buƙatu a cikin 2022, kuma samar da man kwakwalwar dutse ya ci gaba da girma cikin shekara.Alkaluman da hukumar kididdiga ta kasa ta fitar sun nuna cewa, yawan man da aka samu a kwakwalwar dutse a kasara a shekarar 2022 ya kai tan miliyan 54.78, wanda ya karu da kashi 10.51% idan aka kwatanta da shekarar da ta gabata;Yawan shigo da man kwakwalwar dutse ya kai ton miliyan 9.26, kuma yawan agogon mai na dutse ya kai tan miliyan 63.99 na amfani da tan miliyan 63.99.ya canza zuwa +13.21% idan aka kwatanta da na shekarar da ta gabata.
A shekarar 2023, tare da raguwar annobar sannu a hankali, manufar tana da kyau, tattalin arziki ya farfado sannu a hankali, yawan aikin da masana'antun man fetur ke yi zai karu, kuma buƙatun man fetur zai karu.Ana sa ran za a ci gaba da wannan lamarin har zuwa kashi na uku.A cikin kwata na huɗu, tashar man petrochemical ta shiga yanayin amfani da na gargajiya, kuma ginin ƙasa ya ragu.Bukatar man fetur da mai na da hadarin raguwa.
Gabaɗaya, lokacin da matatar ta shiga tsaka-tsakin lokacin kulawa a cikin kwata na biyu, samar da man fetur ya ragu kuma yana tallafawa sake dawowa kasuwa.Duk da haka, saboda raguwar ci gaban tattalin arzikin duniya da rashin isasshen buƙatu, sake dawowa yana da iyaka, kuma farashin zai iya ci gaba da daidaitawa bayan farashin ya yi yawa.Kwata na uku shi ne kololuwar tafiye-tafiyen gargajiya.A wannan mataki, a hankali farashin danyen mai ya koma daidai gwargwado.Ribar da aka samu na na'urar fashewa ta inganta, ayyukan kasuwa ya karu, kuma farashin albarkatun kasa ya kasance mai sauƙi zuwa ƙasa.A cikin kwata na huɗu, kasuwar sinadarai na petrochemical za ta shiga cikin amfani da al'ada a kashe-lokaci, buƙatun ya ragu, kuma farashin man kwakwalwar dutse zai sake faɗuwa.
Daga mahangar masana'antar tacewa, ana shirin aiwatar da aikin inganta aikin tace tsibiri na Yulong a karshen shekarar 2023. Kashi na biyu na Hainan Petrochemical Hainan Refining and Chemical, Zhenhai Refinery Phase I da CNOOC Petrochemical Plan sun kasance. mai da hankali a cikin 2023 zuwa 2024. Haɓaka albarkatun mai mai haske babu shakka yana da fa'ida ga kasuwar mai, don haka yana tallafawa ƙasa ta ƙasa ciki har da butadiene dangane da farashi.
Ƙarfafa buƙatun ƙasa
Shigar da 2023, tasirin kyawawan manufofi kamar harajin sayan tashoshi na butadiene ya ɗan inganta, kuma an shirya masana'antar roba ta sama sosai.A sa'i daya kuma, ci gaba da inganta matakan rigakafin cututtuka na kasa ya kawo wasu fa'ida ga kasuwar roba.Haɓaka buƙatun ƙasa a lokacin hutun bazara, da bullowar butadiene, ana sa ran za ta shiga kasuwa a farkon 2023, kuma buƙatun butadiene zai ƙaru sosai.
Daga ra'ayi na saki na iya aiki a cikin 2023, ƙarfin butadiebenbenbenbenbenbenbenbal rubber yana da ƙananan ƙaranci, wanda shine kawai 40,000 ton / shekara;sabon capsule capsule yana da tan 273,000;da polypropylene da chunyrene -butadiene -lyzyrene kasuwa convergence iya aiki ne 150,000 ton / shekara;ABS ya kara ton 444,900 / shekara, kuma sabon haɓakar ƙarfin aikin Tinto manne shine ton 50,000 / shekara;Ba shi da wahala a ga cewa ana saka sabuwar na'urar a koyaushe a cikin samarwa, kuma ana sa ran buƙatun da ke ƙasa za su ƙaru sosai.Idan aka fitar da ƙarfin samar da kayan da ke sama akan lokaci, babu shakka yana da babbar fa'ida ga kasuwar butadiene.
Bugu da kari, yayin da ake ci gaba da inganta manufofin rigakafin cutar a halin yanzu, illar da cutar ke haifar da shigo da kayayyaki da fitar da kayayyaki za ta yi rauni sannu a hankali nan gaba.Ana sa ran shekarar 2023, yawan wadatar butadiene zai karu, yawan shigo da kayayyaki zai ci gaba da raguwa, amma dawo da bukatar kasashen waje zai taimaka wajen kara yawan fitar da butadiene.Domin daidaita wadatar kasuwannin cikin gida da tsarin buƙatu, haɓaka fitar da kayayyaki na iya zama burin kamfanonin samar da butadiene na cikin gida.
Lokacin aikawa: Fabrairu-23-2023